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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-02-21T18:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-02-21T18:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/29338/-1
CME Note: Wide partial halo CME to the west, associated with a beautiful filament eruption seen after 2024-02-21T17:30Z in AIA 304 traversing the western part of the disk and later as prominence off the western limb in SUVI 304. There is also an area of deep dimming and post eruptive arcades centered at (~N05W40) and stretching along 40th longitude (from lat -3 to 20) in AIA 193 associated with this eruption.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-02-24T16:16Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-02-24T23:50Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 47.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.8 - 4.734
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 0.17 hour(s)
Difference: -7.57 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-02-24T16:06Z
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